Journal of microbiology, epidemiology and immunobiologyJournal of microbiology, epidemiology and immunobiologyЖурнал микробиологии, эпидемиологии и иммунобиологии0372-93112686-7613Central Research Institute for Epidemiology5810.36233/0372-9311-2016-3-113-120REVIEWSОБЗОРЫPOSSIBILITY OF INFLUENZA PANDEMIC PREDICTIONВОЗМОЖНОСТЬ ПРЕДСКАЗАНИЯ ПАНДЕМИЙ ГРИППАGhendonYu. Z.ГендонЮ. З.
Russian Federation
Mechnikov Research Institute of Vaccines and SeraНИИ вакцин и сывороток им. И.И.Мечникова2806201693311312010042019Copyright ©; 2016, Ghendon Y.Z.Copyright ©; 2016, Гендон Ю.З.2016Ghendon Y.Z.Гендон Ю.З.https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0https://microbiol.crie.ru/jour/article/view/58

Five influenza pandemics emerged in the 20th and 21st centuries. Data regarding possibility of infection of swine with human influenza viruses and persistent circulation of these strains among swine with subsequent infection of humans with these viruses were obtained in the recent years. A possibility of prediction of influenza pandemics by constant observation and study of influenza viruses circulating among swine is discussed in the paper.

В XX и XXI вв. возникло пять пандемий гриппа. В последние годы получены данные о возможности инфицирования свиней вирусами гриппа человека и длительной циркуляции этих штаммов среди свиней с последующей инфекцией такими вирусами людей. В статье обсуждается возможность предсказания пандемий гриппа путем постоянного наблюдения и исследования вирусов гриппа, циркулирующих среди свиней.

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